Core scenario: Global reflation to get a boost from a recovery in consumption and investment as political risks ease in Europe. Trump’s tax cut plan is likely positive for ‘reflation’. Asia and Emerging Markets are benefitting from a rebound in global trade.
While our bullish stance on the USD/JPY since late-January has not materialized yet, we believe the medium-term upward trend in the USD/JPY has not ended. The JPY’s strength year-to-date looks overdone to us, and our team sees a high probability that tax reform will be implemented this year and the US-Japan policy divergence will deepen, widening US-Japan interest rate spreads.
As a supplement to their 2017 Global Outlook, Credit Suisse market strategists have highlighted what they believe will be some of the top trades for financial markets in 2017. In this post we present the core views of Credit Suisse strategists for their markets and their preferred trades for the year ahead.
Barclays FX Thoughts for the Week Ahead – a report covering most important topics in FX space for the coming week (weekly events overview, trade of the week, data calendar).
If you wish to receive this Societe Generale research report (and many other) on a daily basis, subscribe now or get a free 5-day trial. Forex Trade Idea – Go long AUD/USD vol against USD/JPY vol (Societe Generale Research) Rationale: Low and cheap volatility spread The fair value of AUD/USD 3m vol is probably between […]
If you wish to receive this Barclays pdf research report (and many other) on a daily basis, subscribe now or get a free 5-day trial. Barclays Pdf Report – Chart of the day: Crude rally stokes energy producer FX bid The about-turn in WTI crude oil prices over the past 24-hours has forced us to […]